关键词: 知识化制造系统, 制造模式, 风险评价, 网络分析法

Abstract: To solve the evaluation of mode selection risk in knowledge-oriented manufacturing system, the risk decision-making method based on analytic network method and entropy coefficient was proposed. According to the characteristics of knowledgeable manufacturing system, the risk elements in implementing knowledgeable manufacturing mode were analyzed in detail. The analytic network progress model of mode selection was established. Considering the dependence and feedback relationships among various risk elements, and to avoid uncertain and random judgments resulted from the subjective opinions, a new risk decision-making method integrating the analytic network progress and entropy coefficient was proposed, which combined subjective opinions with objective situations. A case study showed that the method reduced the influences of human factors, and the evaluation results were more scientific and credible.

Key words: knowledgeable manufacturing system, manufacturing mode, risk evaluation, analytic network progress, entropy coefficient