关键词: 风险管理, 模糊层次分析法, 风险因素排序, 风险决策

Abstract: The current risk management methods cant manage the risk factors in aeronautic projects. Based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, a new risk management method for aeronautic projects is proposed. The method contains four steps: risk identification, modeling of analytic hierarchy process, construction of fuzzy judgment matrix and risk factors ranking. With this method, the two key problems in the risk management of aeronautic projects-risk ranking and risk response decision-making are solved. At last, some aeronautic model project is presented as an example, which shows that the method can solve the above-motioned two problems.

Key words: risk management, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, risk factors ranking, risk response decision-making